From: Net load forecasting using different aggregation levels
Forecast type | Model | Complex | Simple | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feature sets considered | Feature set selected | Feature sets considered | Feature set selected | ||
Deterministic forecast | Net load | 37–29 | 37 | 37–29 | 36 |
Supply | 34–26 | 32 | 34–28 | 32 | |
Demand | 13–10 | 13 | 13–10 | 13 | |
Offshore wind | 16–5 | 9 | 16–5 | 9 | |
Onshore wind | 19–7 | 14 | 19–12 | 18 | |
Solar | 19–9 | 17 | 19–10 | 16 | |
Run of river | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Probabilistic forecast | Net load | 37–29 | 37 | 37–32 | 36 |
Supply | 34–29 | 32 | 34–27 | 32 | |
Demand | 13–10 | 13 | 13–9 | 13 | |
Offshore wind | 16–5 | 8 | 16–5 | 8 | |
Onshore wind | 19–8 | 14 | 19–15 | 19 | |
Solar | 19–10 | 18 | 19–10 | 14 | |
Run of river | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |