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Table 5 RMSE calculated on the test set for the different deterministic forecasting strategies

From: Net load forecasting using different aggregation levels

Strategy Quantity Complex model Simple model
Aggregated Net load 5.068 5.448
Partially aggregated Supply 3.744 3.790
Demand 1.408 1.558
Net load 4.018** 4.132***
Disaggregated Offshore wind 1.186 1.281
Onshore wind 3.508 3.764
Solar 1.095 1.189
Run of river 0.089 0.100
Demand 1.408 1.558
Net load 4.107 4.481
  1. The best performing strategy is highlighted in bold. Significance levels are based on the DM test and show the significance between the two best performing forecasting strategies for the same forecasting model
  2. Significance levels ***\(\alpha =0.001\), **\(\alpha =0.01\), *\(\alpha =0.1\)